Ok from my experience this matchup is mostly footsies and whoever gets in and pushes to the corner will have the advantage 4D is both good and bad for this fight because if noel starts her drive string you can 4D it...most of the time, if the noel doing drive is aware,she can bait it with her own 4D. The golden normal's for this fight are 5C,6A,6D and 2B reasons are cus 6A is god,5C has a large hitbox so if the opposing noel decides to do a mad dash she will most of the time get beaten out depending on spacing,6D cus aside from A mash she has no way of getting out of it also on wakeup she can safely go for 50/50 mixup and 2B cus 4D is weak to low. again this is based off of my experience and may not hold true to all noels I hope this helps.
