You use 2A too much. During the first match, you were being hit by j2DD and for some reason, was mashing 2A. Similarly, 2A isn't that great of a poke to just dash in with. You should try using 2B or 3C if you are going to dash in against someone. You also should use less 5C in neutral and for oki as well. It can't really be used for that purpose and that Makoto showed you that a few times. There are better options, like your B moves.
Which leads nicely into the fact that you should also try using your B moves more. I noticed a lot of the time, you would just do 2A > 5C or 2C, which doesn't actually combo unless you got a counter hit
Better hitconfirms. There were some cases where you would land a CH 214D or 236D and either not do anything off of it or just do 5C > 6C. In the same vein, you were sitting on meter a lot and it would have been better to use it to RC after 236B for a good combo
You should also try using the follow-up to j2D and then either confirming into crescent saber or cancelling into a crescent feint. You hit with j2D a bunch but didn't do anything from it
I also noticed you whiffed some of your moves a lot. Particularly moves that you shouldn't whiff at close range like 5D. Make sure you learn the minimum and maximum range of your moves since Lambda's moves tend to have a bunch of recovery
Also in the first few matches, you weren't doing 236D but then against the Ragna you did that is good. Though I did see the Ragna easily jump out of it so you might want to practice the timing some more.