In this match I just stay away from him, hitting nirvana all day and doing small approaches, I just need to hit him once and then go back, if he approaches (he will HAVE to) then he's doing what you want him to do...awesome. so I just punish him for getting close to me, jump back C (I usually do this since its safe vs the glide throw) , j.a, TK hotaru, etc. and I DONT do anything else...seriously, think of it like SF4 E.Honda...he hits, then sits. thats pretty much how you play vs Carl, when you hit, hit hard, when you sit, sit hard. Im not gonna risk getting mixuped/sandwiched to death and also, the longer you sit there, the harder you will hit him, sounds good to me. play to win my friend.
I did this vs a friend and he raged...hard lol, fun stuff.