I think Rachel vs Tager isn't any closer then 4-6.
I blame Mike Z, j.2c being super punishable on block no matter what you do (360a/720 beats everything including 2c), and 6b being worthless for this opinion. Also 4b is so slow that it causes you to eat a 360a on reaction. Tager's massive amount of HP and huge stock of primers doesn't help, either.