It's hard to gauge, they could be like me, who know the match up, but risk a lot to have a bit more fun, giving Tager an obvious chance at victory.
Sandbagging, if you will.
I'm super fucking aggressive vs Tager, but I know that if I play more passively, it's hard for Tager to do anything. Maybe Carl players feel the same way. Winning a piss easy match up isn't very fun, you know, why not even the odds?