I was trying to bait you into 720ing me so I could do the astral at the perfect moment, but then I realized I had 7 stars and not 8. WHOOPS
The Tager situation goes like this. It's pretty much what ctrl said but not quite.
First, I do Hotaru. Anything he does ~> nope fuck that. However, Magna Tech Wheel will beat Hotaru by itself since the super armor will eat the move and then you get hit out of the recovery. But if you time it right, Hotaru will clash with MTW, and once it clashes, you can cancel into j.D and then 6D to counter MTW and make him eat a combo. If he doesn't have 100 heat, that's it and he's done.
But if he does have 100 heat, he can rapid cancel out of MTW right when Hotaru clashes. For whatever reason there is enough invincibility in MTW that the first counter whiffs on Tager, so Tager can RC out and then you have a kind of fake mixup. I will be busy trying to counter what I think will be the rest of MTW, so I might hit 6D a split second after he RCs, leaving me a sitting duck. Or, we both are at neutral right after MTW and it turns into a "will he jump or 360" game.