I'll respond to parts directly.
Surely you're not talking about hit confirming a single 5a? I'm going to assume you're talking about doing a single 5a and then hitconfirming the following hits.
Are you suggesting throwing on 3c in this matchup to predict a jab? Sorry, I can't agree with this.
Can't agree, if you're attempting any 5a dash 5a shenanigans I'd say prepare to get 360'd.
True, but Tager and Hakumen fall differently than other characters and the distance is shorter. Bang also falls differently but this is to Noel's advantage because his fall is VERY horizontal.
I was exaggerating a bit, nobody caught that. <_<
This must be hitconfirmed. One 5a 6a 6c is possible but hitconfirming 6a 6c (bc) is impossible (because you need to cancel the 6c with bc quickly). Note that if you 6c (bc) without hitconfirming you can get 360'd.
Pitiful damage for 50 meter. Respectable option with knockdown though.
His j.2c is the literal anti-anti-air for 6c.
Actually you can 22c 6c 22c 66c j.C for more than 4k.
Again, I can't agree that things like 5a 6a 6c or 6c are confirmable. You can choose to 6c (bc) regardless of hitconfirm because many players don't know this is punishable but, it is.
Still can't agree. Oki's good but committing to attacks on his wakeup is very much asking to get 360'd or backdash 360'd. The distance that Noel must be to attack him his undeniably the closest in the game.
All in all I think he has the ability to punish you for DOING attacks rather than punishing you after blocking your attacks, and with this can output way more damage than Noel can. I'd say they are both pretty equally unsafe, but Tager has the health and the damage output to make up for mashing unsafe things. Such that if we get a successful 2b CH, we get a nice 2.2k with 50 meter, whereas if he gets a 2c 2b sledge etc ch he will easily break 3.5-5k meter or not.
I have no trouble with Tager players, this is a very easy personal matchup for me.
Note that my spacebar is broken so I apologize if my post is a bit lacking indepth explanations.